我的计划是尽快卖掉目前我在深圳的房产，卖个好价钱，然后租住一套公寓.在房地产崩盘之后，我将买进多套房产，做为一项长期投资.我的这个策略和我在深圳的许多外国朋友不谋而合.

　　转载：在我的帖子中，大家争论香港和深圳一体化对深圳楼市的影响，一位香港友人回帖支持，在此非常感谢！

　　并把他的回帖谨以本人有限的英文水平进行逐段翻译，让大家更加客观，更加理性的看看深圳房地产市场.

　　Now that you‘re talking aboutHongKong，as a HongKong resident living in Shenzhen，I feel obliged to share my opinion.

　　既然你们正在谈论香港，作为一个居住在深圳的香港居民，我必须要说出我们观点与大家分享.

　　I was bornin Guangdong and emigrated to HK when I was 5.As agraduate of the University of HongKong earning HK $500 thousand to HK $1 million a year，I think I belong to them iddle classin HongKong.

　　我出生在广东在5岁的时候移民到香港.作为一个香港大学毕业，年薪HK$500，000到HK$1000，000的人，我认为我在香港属于中等收入阶层.

　　no i have two apartments in the New Territorie sin HongKong and an apartmentin Futian in Shenzhen.Since my wife is Mainland Chinese and she hasn’t got the right of abode in HK yet，I have been spending most of my time after work in Shenzhen since2004，so I am one of the few HongKong people who have a better understanding of Shenzhen.

　　现在我在香港有两处房产，在深圳福田区有一套房子.因为我妻子是大陆人，她没有取得在香港的居住权，所以我在2004年至今都在深圳工作与生活，所以我是一个对深圳了解深刻的少数香港人之一.

　　When it comes to the property market in Shenzhen，I think it is already too high and I would say it‘s more likely for me to sell my present property than to buy more.

　　当我们谈到深圳的房地产市场，我认为它已经太高，我更愿意卖掉我现有住房而不会买进.

　　When I bought my apartment in 2005，which has 110sqmetres，it was about 9500RMBper sqmetre but now the market priceis almost 20，000RMB persqmetre.Suppose that you pay 30% down payment and you have a 20-year mortgage，your monthly in stall ment is about 12，000RMB a month.In that sense，a family in come of 16，000RMB is really far too low.

　　我在2005年买现在的房子，110平米，当时9500人民币一平米，现在市场价格高达20000元一平米.假如你付30%的首付，加上20年的按揭，你月供会达到12000元.那样的话，月收入16000实在是太低了.

　　However，of the people I come across in Shenzhen，in cluding some HongKong people，a family in come of 16，000RMB a month is really not low.Many of the local IT talentsare just earning a monthly salary of 8，000 to 10，000RMB.How can they affordafla twhose priceis over 12000RMB as qmetre？

　　然而，在深圳情况不同.在我所认识的人当中，包括一些香港人，家庭月收入16000的人并不低.很多深圳当地的IT业人才每个月的薪水才8000到10000元.他们怎么能承受和担负得起一套每个平米售价12000元的房子呢？

　　Recently，in view of the in creasing value ofRMB，I have started in vesting in Shenzhen，not in the irrational property and stock markets but in the retail market.I am building are tailchain in Shenzhen at my spare time and there turni spretty good.There turnis more stable and the risk is much lower.

　　近来，考虑到人民币升值，我开始在深圳投资，不是在毫无理性的房地产和股票市场投资，而是在零售商业上投资.我正在建立一个深圳零售商业链，收益不错.收益稳定的多，风险非常低.

　　Those who continue to in sist there is no bubble in China’s property and stock market saree i the rlying to them selvesor are too ignorant to acknowledge changes in the market.Anyway，my plan is to sell my present Shenzhen property at ago odpriceas soon as possible，and rentaflat.After the property market has collapsed，I will buy afe was along-terminvestment.Thiss trategyis also shared by many off oreign friends in Shenzhen.

　　那些继续认定在中国固定资产和股票市场上没有泡沫的人，不是自欺欺人就是对对市场变化的无知.总之，我的计划是尽快卖掉目前我在深圳的房产，卖个好价钱，然后租住一套公寓.在房地产崩盘之后，我将买进多套房产，做为一项长期投资.我的这个策略和我在深圳的许多外国朋友不谋而合.

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